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Indonesia's gas cuts to Singapore put spotlight on domestic energy needs, economic trade-offs   https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/indonesia-gas-cut-singapore-energy-exports-6492596?cid=internal_sharetool_androidphone_26102026_cna   Full Details: Indonesia's Gas Cuts to Singapore — Domestic Needs & Economic Trade-offs   Source: CNA, 26 Oct 2026        📌 Overview   Indonesia began reducing natural gas exports to Singapore on Oct 24, 2026, diverting 31 million standard cubic feet per day (MMSCFD) — 15 MMSCFD from Natuna, 16 MMSCFD from Sumatra — to meet domestic electricity needs in Batam, Bintan, and Sumatra . While the immediate impact on Singapore is expected to be small, analysts say it highlights deeper questions about Indonesia's domestic energy priorities and long-term supply security for Singapore .       🇮🇩 Why Indonesia Is Cutting — Domestic Drivers   SKK Migas (Indonesia's upstream oil & gas regulator): Cuts are intended to "safeguard the reliability of domestic gas supplies for electricity generation" .   Key drivers:   - Economic growth: ~5% annual GDP growth → matching increases in electricity demand - Rising demand from hyperscalers/data centres requiring 24/7 reliable power - Multiple sectors growing simultaneously — fertiliser industry, households, industry — making long-term planning difficult - Infrastructure limits: Rystad Energy notes pipeline capacity constraints will cap how much gas Indonesia can actually redirect domestically; beyond a point, reduced exports could mean lower production overall, not just diversion    Economic trade-off debate: RSIS's Alvin Chew notes Indonesia economically stands to gain more selling gas to Singapore at higher prices than using it domestically — suggesting political considerations may also be at play, referencing Minister Bahlil's Oct 22 warning about reviewing exports to countries lacking "mutual respect"        🇸🇬 Immediate Impact — Limited, Say All Parties   Measure Detail  Cut volume 31 MMSCFD = <2% of Singapore's daily gas demand  Gas in power generation ~95% of Singapore's electricity comes from natural gas  Sources Pipelines from Indonesia + Malaysia; plus global LNG imports  Price impact Minimal short-term effect — most gas priced against global benchmarks, not directly affected by this cut[__LINK_ICON]    EMA: Sufficient supplies in place; contingency plans active; importer seeking alternatives  PM Wong (Oct 25): "We expect all parties to honour their commitments." Importer will protect contractual rights. Singapore has long prepared for such risks — LNG terminals enable diversification beyond pipeline imports  Minister Tan See Leng: Understands Indonesia's domestic needs; bilateral relations remain strong        🔭 Longer-Term Concerns & Energy Security Strategies   ⚠️ What Analysts Warn   - David Broadstock (ESI): If this marks a lasting shift toward resource nationalism, the trend could deepen — affecting not just gas but future low-carbon electricity imports too  - Prateek Pandey (Rystad): The real test comes post-2028, when current long-term gas contracts expire. Diversions will remain manageable unless cuts deepen or production falters  - Alvin Chew (RSIS): Diversifying LNG sources alone won't eliminate vulnerability. Singapore should build more domestic generation — solar and especially nuclear — for genuine energy independence    🔄 Singapore's Diversification Push   - Conditional approval granted Oct 26: Sembcorp Utilities to import 1.3GW low-carbon electricity from Vietnam (offshore wind) and Malaysia (solar) by 2035  - Similar import projects under review with Australia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam  - Easier to substitute piped gas with spot LNG cargoes from Australia/US — volumes involved are modest    🤝 Cooperation Opportunities   - Broadstock suggests both nations could use this moment to rebalance bilateral energy security dialogue and strengthen ASEAN-wide energy cooperation rather than treating it as a one-off dispute  - Strong bilateral ties could help restore original flows, though Indonesia's reputation as a reliable supplier is at stake if changes happen without clear advance notice        ✅ Key Takeaways   - ✅ Short term: <2% demand impact; prices stable; alternatives available - ⚠️ Medium term: Watch contract renewals after 2028; infrastructure limits cap Indonesia's ability to redirect gas - 🔄 Strategic shift: Singapore accelerating both supply diversification and low-carbon electricity imports + domestic generation development - 🤝 Outlook: Both sides keeping channels open — but the episode underscores that energy security can no longer be taken for granted    

then better not tell us Electricity prices is going up And that prices is not based on LNG prices   Enough of the bs    

No wonder we are stepping up the air force. more flights are flying in Paya Lebar. Wonder if the same in Tengah   And is Seletar all set for missile defense or attack   Looks we need to sharpen our skill   Lucky we just completed an upscale Ex Wallaby and our woman sniper is all set for a 3 km headshot    

Don't lecture Indonesia about honouring contracts: Energy minister says gas export cut to S'pore within limits   https://mothership.sg/2026/10/do-not-lecture-indonesia-contracts/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAVMDqxjbGNrBUwOkGV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHBkb2YFc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQMMzUwNjg1NTMxNzI4AAEeWXZlhdrUXVIFY7nNat_vQT9IDVT_40pfE1fHhcP9amd2A281NmbAWL2G2-Q_aem_dtAYmNKPAhaHAVbA7ClCsQ   Full Details: Indonesia Gas Export Cut to Singapore — Within Contract Limits, Minister Says   📅 Timeline   - Oct 22, 2026: Minister Bahlil said Indonesia would review export agreements and "not hesitate to stop exports to countries that do not respect Indonesia"  - Oct 24, 2026: Indonesia began cutting piped gas exports to Singapore — the only country affected  - Oct 25, 2026: PM Lawrence Wong stated Singapore expects all parties to "honour their commitments" and that Singapore's gas importer would protect its contractual rights  - Oct 26, 2026: Minister Bahlil held a press conference defending the cuts        🇮🇩 Indonesia's Position — Minister Bahlil Lahadalia (Oct 26)   The numbers:   - Original supply: 409.55 million standard cubic feet/day (MMSCFD) via pipelines from Natuna Sea and Sumatra  - Reduction: 31 MMSCFD ≈ 8% cut  - Contract allows minimum 91–92% of contracted volume — so 8% reduction is within limits. Bahlil said: "If we had reduced by 10%, only then would we breach the contract"    Key statements:   "Do not lecture Indonesia about its commitment to honouring and respecting contracts."    "We respect contracts. But force majeure circumstances can arise, can't they? Well, we'll see."    - Cuts attributed to maintenance shutdowns and domestic demand pressures — redirected to power needs in Batam, Bintan, and Sumatra  - On whether cuts are permanent: "The situation remains fluid"  - Denied any conflict: "There is no problem at all. There is no conflict."  - Cuts made under Indonesia's Oil & Gas Law (Art.8.1), which prioritises domestic gas needs        🇸🇬 Singapore's Response   Energy Market Authority (EMA) — Oct 24:   - Cut = less than 2% of Singapore's daily gas demand — not 8% of total consumption  - Indonesia is not Singapore's only gas source; importer seeking alternatives; power generation companies have ample reserves    PM Lawrence Wong — Oct 25:   "We expect all parties to honour their commitments, and Singapore's gas importer will take the necessary steps to protect its rights and interests under these contracts."    - Singapore has been preparing for such risks    Minister Tan See Leng — Oct 25–26:   - Little to no short-term impact on electricity prices  - Singapore actively diversifying energy sources and supply routes  - Warned that resource nationalism undermining contracts could harm investor confidence        ⚠️ Key Points   - ✅ Indonesia insists: 8% cut ≠ contract breach — still above the 91–92% minimum supply floor  - ⚠️ Force majeure explicitly raised as a future possibility  - 📉 Actual impact on Singapore: <2% of daily demand; price impact expected minimal  - 🔄 Future unclear: Bahlil says situation is fluid; all existing export contracts under review     

⛽️ Indonesia gas cuts: Essential energy contracts must be respected, says WP   In a statement, the Workers' Party said it regrets the latest decision by the Indonesian government to reduce its exports of gas to Singapore.   READ: https://asia1.news/3Wa6su2   Follow @AsiaOnecom for all the latest updates. ⛽️ Indonesia Gas Export Cuts to Singapore — Full Details       📅 Timeline & Announcement   - Oct 23–24, 2026: Indonesia's SKK Migas announced it would reduce natural gas exports to Singapore by 31 BBTUD starting Saturday, Oct 24, 2026  - Oct 25, 2026: Workers' Party issued statement; PM Lawrence Wong and Minister Tan See Leng responded  - EMA clarification: The operational reduction is 17 BBTUD sustained over 18 days, totalling less than 2% of Singapore's daily gas demand (>1,000 BBTUD)        🇮🇩 Indonesia's Position & Reasoning   - Total cut: 31 BBTUD — 15 BBTUD from Natuna (diverted to PLN Batam) + 16 BBTUD from Sumatra (to meet domestic needs in Batam, Bintan, Sumatra)  - Stated reason: Prioritise domestic electricity reliability under Indonesia's Oil & Gas Law (Article 8, Paragraph 1); domestic demand growth and facility maintenance  - Minister Bahlil Lahadalia: "No conflict behind this decision — purely domestic needs"        🇸🇬 Workers' Party (WP) Statement — Oct 25, 2026   - Regret over the decision, "if due to recent unconnected events" — referencing conflated issues: regional haze, allegations of sovereign wealth fund conspiracies, and now gas cuts  - Contracts matter: "The sanctity of international commercial contracts, particularly those covering key utilities, is an issue of national importance"  - Parliamentary history: WP MPs raised questions in 2022–2023 about gradual, field-depletion-related declines in Indonesian piped gas, which Govt said would not affect electricity supply  - Tolerable now but a warning: Current reduction appears manageable, but underscores urgency to diversify energy supply chains  - Welcomed progress on LNG supply diversification, including recent Qatar–Singapore high-level committee outcomes        🏛️ Singapore Government Response   PM Lawrence Wong (Oct 25, PAP Convention)   - Contracts must be honoured: "We expect all parties to honour their commitments. Singapore's gas importer will take necessary steps to protect its rights and interests"  - Preparedness: Singapore invested in LNG terminals to source gas globally, not just via pipelines — critical buffer - Long-term: Also exploring nuclear energy feasibility (with safety as top priority)   Minister Tan See Leng (Energy, Trade & Industry)   - No short-term electricity price impact expected  - Sufficient supply: Replacement gas available, including from LNG sources  - Multi-layered safeguards: - Diversified global LNG sources - Standby LNG facilities - Singapore GasCo (established 2025): central gas aggregator ensuring contracted supply security  - Power plants maintain diesel fuel reserves  - Public message: "Keep calm and carry on — we have handled larger reductions before without disruption"        ⚡️ Key Facts at a Glance   Detail Figure  Indonesia announced cut 31 BBTUD  Actual sustained reduction 17 BBTUD / 18 days  Share of SG daily demand < 2%  Gas-fired electricity in SG ~95%  Pipeline gas from Indonesia + Malaysia (2025) ~40% of supply  Rest from global LNG ~60%        Bottom line: The immediate supply impact is modest and manageable, but the episode has raised broader questions about energy security, contract sanctity, and supply-chain diversification — issues both government and opposition are addressing in parallel.